Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.073021 0.085537 0.099504 0.116242 0.135750 0.157770 0.184512
2026-01-11 0.056165 0.072238 0.091864 0.117571 0.150349 0.190746 0.244336
2026-01-18 0.043827 0.061255 0.084300 0.116965 0.162056 0.222105 0.308200
2026-01-25 0.033809 0.050977 0.075391 0.112573 0.167733 0.246534 0.367741
2026-02-01 0.026283 0.042494 0.067140 0.107231 0.170761 0.267532 0.426241
2026-02-08 0.021347 0.036808 0.061804 0.105006 0.177740 0.295236 0.499589
2026-02-15 0.017427 0.031903 0.056684 0.101993 0.182679 0.320301 0.573009
2026-02-22 0.014968 0.028971 0.054245 0.102933 0.194258 0.358051 0.674267
2026-03-01 0.012766 0.026038 0.051220 0.102169 0.202511 0.391146 0.772818
2026-03-08 0.010657 0.022848 0.047099 0.098501 0.204518 0.412896 0.853631
2026-03-15 0.009235 0.020753 0.044711 0.097767 0.212053 0.446272 0.962713
2026-03-22 0.008391 0.019711 0.044269 0.100946 0.228118 0.499182 1.120667
2026-03-29 0.007612 0.018734 0.043954 0.104737 0.247092 0.563255 1.318398
2026-04-05 0.006820 0.017572 0.043031 0.107044 0.263370 0.624775 1.523079
2026-04-12 0.006008 0.016188 0.041330 0.107218 0.274819 0.677717 1.718745
2026-04-19 0.005121 0.014416 0.038345 0.103647 0.276518 0.708248 1.866825
2026-04-26 0.004327 0.012714 0.035194 0.099009 0.274626 0.729766 1.996881
2026-05-03 0.003774 0.011553 0.033228 0.097137 0.279678 0.769858 2.183399
2026-05-10 0.003272 0.010427 0.031129 0.094464 0.282028 0.803366 2.358995
2026-05-17 0.002961 0.009806 0.030341 0.095413 0.294889 0.867860 2.634092
2026-05-24 0.002641 0.009082 0.029098 0.094755 0.302931 0.920399 2.885234
2026-05-31 0.002290 0.008175 0.027112 0.091381 0.302052 0.946999 3.064478
2026-06-07 0.002053 0.007595 0.026040 0.090720 0.309628 1.000442 3.337579